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Star Spangled Gamblers

Aug 31, 2023

Intro: Pratik's thoughts on the first Republican presidential debate

Part I: Pratik interviews PlayUSA columnist Steve Friess about his reporting on why political prediction markets missed the 2022 Senate races, and why the policymaking community is skeptical of political gambling.

Part II: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby...

Aug 27, 2023

Intro: Pratik Chougule discusses a recent Manifold meetup he attended and the importance of attending in-person forecasting community events

Part 1: Rule3O3 joins the show for the first time to discuss epistemic humility in political betting and how to realize the promise of political prediction markets.

Part 2: Ben...

Aug 19, 2023

Longtime PredictIt trader Ben Freeman argues that the markets are overly pessimistic about Ron DeSantis's odds of winning the Republican nomination and makes the bull case for buying at current prices.

1:23: DeSantis's comments about betting markets on John Stossel's show
6:24: Ben Freeman introduces himself

Aug 11, 2023

Mick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the Fifth Circuit's decision to grant PredictIt a preliminary injunction and what it means for traders as well as the broader political betting community. Bransfield and Chougule also speculate on why PredictIt still isn't rolling out new markets.

4:53: Summary of...

Aug 2, 2023

Part I (3:46): Adrian Smith responds to CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's concerns that election markets could turn the CFTC into an "election cop." 

Part II (27:01): Iabvek and Pratik side bet on whether Ron DeSantis will even win one county in the Republican primaries

Part III (36:37): Mick Bransfield discusses whether...