Aug 31, 2023
Intro: Pratik's thoughts on the first Republican presidential
Part I: Pratik interviews PlayUSA columnist Steve Friess about his reporting on why political prediction markets missed the 2022 Senate races, and why the policymaking community is skeptical of political gambling.
Part II: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby...
Aug 27, 2023
Intro: Pratik Chougule discusses a recent Manifold meetup he
attended and the importance of attending in-person forecasting
Part 1: Rule3O3 joins the show for the first time to discuss epistemic humility in political betting and how to realize the promise of political prediction markets.
Part 2: Ben...
Aug 19, 2023
Longtime PredictIt trader Ben Freeman argues that the markets
are overly pessimistic about Ron DeSantis's odds of winning the
Republican nomination and makes the bull case for buying at current
1:23: DeSantis's comments about betting markets on John Stossel's show
6:24: Ben Freeman introduces himself
Aug 11, 2023
Mick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the Fifth Circuit's decision to grant PredictIt a preliminary injunction and what it means for traders as well as the broader political betting community. Bransfield and Chougule also speculate on why PredictIt still isn't rolling out new markets.
4:53: Summary of...
Aug 2, 2023
Part I (3:46): Adrian Smith responds to CFTC Chairman Rostin
Behnam's concerns that election markets could turn the CFTC into an
Part II (27:01): Iabvek and Pratik side bet on whether Ron DeSantis will even win one county in the Republican primaries
Part III (36:37): Mick Bransfield discusses whether...