Preview Mode Links will not work in preview mode

Star Spangled Gamblers

Sep 15, 2023

Rule3O3 and Pratik Chougule discuss whether the political forecasting community should cancel Richard Hanania in light of his edgy writings on race, sex, and other hot-button issues.


0:53: Jonathan Zubkoff wins the CSPI/Salem Center forecasting tournament
2:58: Manifest conference
5:04: Crime markets on...

Sep 7, 2023

Intro: Pratik Chougule 

Part I: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby Badger) discusses the possibility of a government shutdown and how it will likely be averted

Part II: Mick Bransfield discusses the new judge, David Ezra, who will be overseeing the PredictIt case at the district court

Part III: Pratik responds to mailbag from...

Aug 31, 2023

Intro: Pratik's thoughts on the first Republican presidential debate

Part I: Pratik interviews PlayUSA columnist Steve Friess about his reporting on why political prediction markets missed the 2022 Senate races, and why the policymaking community is skeptical of political gambling.

Part II: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby...

Aug 27, 2023

Intro: Pratik Chougule discusses a recent Manifold meetup he attended and the importance of attending in-person forecasting community events

Part 1: Rule3O3 joins the show for the first time to discuss epistemic humility in political betting and how to realize the promise of political prediction markets.

Part 2: Ben...

Aug 19, 2023

Longtime PredictIt trader Ben Freeman argues that the markets are overly pessimistic about Ron DeSantis's odds of winning the Republican nomination and makes the bull case for buying at current prices.

1:23: DeSantis's comments about betting markets on John Stossel's show
6:24: Ben Freeman introduces himself