Sep 15, 2023
Rule3O3 and Pratik Chougule discuss whether the political forecasting community should cancel Richard Hanania in light of his edgy writings on race, sex, and other hot-button issues.
Timestamps:
0:53: Jonathan Zubkoff wins the CSPI/Salem Center forecasting
tournament
2:58: Manifest conference
5:04: Crime markets on...
Sep 7, 2023
Intro: Pratik Chougule
Part I: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby Badger) discusses the possibility
of a government shutdown and how it will likely be averted
Part II: Mick Bransfield discusses the new judge, David Ezra, who
will be overseeing the PredictIt case at the district court
Part III: Pratik responds to mailbag from...
Aug 31, 2023
Intro: Pratik's thoughts on the first Republican presidential
debate
Part I: Pratik interviews PlayUSA columnist Steve
Friess about his reporting on why political prediction markets
missed the 2022 Senate races, and why the policymaking community is
skeptical of political gambling.
Part II: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby...
Aug 27, 2023
Intro: Pratik Chougule discusses a recent Manifold meetup he
attended and the importance of attending in-person forecasting
community events
Part 1: Rule3O3 joins the show for the first time to discuss
epistemic humility in political betting and how to realize the
promise of political prediction markets.
Part 2: Ben...
Aug 19, 2023
Longtime PredictIt trader Ben Freeman argues that the markets
are overly pessimistic about Ron DeSantis's odds of winning the
Republican nomination and makes the bull case for buying at current
prices.
1:23: DeSantis's comments about betting markets on John Stossel's
show
6:24: Ben Freeman introduces himself
8:16:...