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Star Spangled Gamblers

May 26, 2023

Naman (@nmehndir) and Abhi (@aenews_PI) discuss their side bets on the odds of Russia nuking Ukraine by the end of June as well as the odds of a nuclear explosion by the end of the year. 

Both debate Pratik on the likelihood of an offensive nuclear war by 2050.

May 24, 2023

— Pratik Chougule analyzes Victoria University's response to the CFTC.

— Gaeten Dugas explains why he's making the largest bet of his career on George Santos not resigning from Congress. 

— Zeus O'Dea considers why the right is losing educated voters across the western world and whether this reality is being...

May 5, 2023

Pratik Chougule provides an update on the ongoing lawsuit between the CFTC and PredictIt now that the Fifth Circuit has rejected the CFTC's motion to dismiss the case and Victoria University has responded to the agency's questions.

Zoltar and Fred Norris debate their side bet on whether Fox News will be able to maintain...

May 2, 2023

Joe Biden announced his campaign for re-election, but the markets still give him less than an 80% chance of securing the Democratic nomination for president. Perhaps foremost among trader concerns are questions about Biden's health. 

To investigate the issue, Tessa Barton, a computational photographer, AI Research...