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Star Spangled Gamblers


Dec 17, 2024

Part 1: Fred Norris (@PIsFredNorris) declares victory in his side bet with Zoltar (@zoltarssg) on how ratings at Fox News would fare following Tucker Carlson's departure.

Part 2: Coalition for Political Forecasting Research Director Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) and Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discuss the merits of CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's opposition to election event contracts.

Timestamps

0:00: Pratik introduces Tucker Carlson segment

2:02: Behnam's announcement on event contracts rulemaking

11:36: Tucker Carlson segment begins

11:48: Fred Norris recaps bet with Zoltar

19:30: Fox News ratings after Tucker Carlson

25:21: Tucker Carlson's decline

29:17: Tucker Carlson segment ends

29:32: Behnam segment begins

34:53: What legal prediction markets would look like

38:05: Behnam vs. Kalshi

38:26: Proprietary technology

41:31: Kalshi's view

41:48: Why Kalshi's view is at odds with Behnam

42:05: State law

42:22: Behnam's view on prediction markets

43:55: CFTC jurisdiction

46:09: Chougule's view on political betting

46:37: Chougule's critique of Kalshi

47:19: Chougule's view on Behnam's perspective

47:39: Benefits of status quo

49:23: Repealing state law

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Coalition for Political Forecasting https://coalitionforpoliticalforecasting.org/