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Star Spangled Gamblers


Aug 31, 2024

Part I: Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield analyze Kalshi's case against the CFTC in federal court

Part II: Jared Whitley discusses political trends among Mormons and other high-achieving minority groups

Timestamps

0:00: Pratik introduces Kalshi segment

0:51: Pratik introduces Whitley segment

2:12: Mormon vote in Arizona and Nevada

3:30: Cuban-American vote in Florida

6:23: Segment on Kalshi begins

6:29: Jones Day

9:13: Joshua Sterling

10:50: Yaakov Roth

11:14: Amanda Rice

11:39: Kalshi's gaming argument

14:05: Kalshi's public interest argument

14:45: Lack of expertise on prediction markets

15:35: Factual errors

16:40: Kalshi references Chougule's comment letter

19:51: Attendees at the Hearing

21:08: Importance of legal arguments

22:10: Judge's reaction to Kalshi

23:11: Segment with Whitley begins

23:34: The Triple Package

24:09: Mormon influence in politics

25:11: Protestant alliances

25:48: Romney-Santorum battle in 2012

26:19: High-achieving minority groups

27:02: Cuban-Americans

29:31: Mormons moving left

35:27: Utah housing affordability

36:29: Federal lands in Utah

37:55: Blue state refugees in Utah

Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers

Coalition for Political Forecasting: https://coalitionforpoliticalforecasting.org/

Markets Referenced

Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.

Arizona Presidential Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-presidential-election-winner?tid=1725129552556

Arizona Senate Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-us-senate-election-winner?tid=1725129686645

AZ-06 election: Engel (D) vs. Ciscomani (R): https://polymarket.com/event/az-06-election-engel-d-vs-ciscomani-r/az-06-election-engel-d-vs-ciscomani-r?tid=1725129720295

AZ-01 election: Shah (D) vs. Schweikert (R): https://polymarket.com/event/az-01-election-shah-d-vs-schweikert-r/az-01-election-shah-d-vs-schweikert-r?tid=1725129749517

Nevada Presidential Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-presidential-election-winner?tid=1725129799530

Nevada Senate Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-us-senate-election-winner?tid=1725129834707

Utah Presidential Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/utah-presidential-election-winner?tid=1725129848259

Utah Senate Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/utah-us-senate-election-winner?tid=1725129890027

Utah Governor Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/utah-governor-election-winner?tid=1725129905105

Florida Presidential Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/florida-presidential-election-winner?tid=1725129967776

Florida Senate Election Winner: https://polymarket.com/event/florida-us-senate-election-winner?tid=1725129994668

Tipping Point State: https://polymarket.com/event/us-election-tipping-point-state?tid=1725130009469